Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.516247 0.595571 0.682028 0.783125 0.897961 1.024211 1.173386
2025-08-03 0.383856 0.492417 0.622503 0.789233 0.996569 1.245176 1.565064
2025-08-10 0.305743 0.424434 0.576966 0.785998 1.063451 1.417316 1.900796
2025-08-17 0.250776 0.371897 0.536874 0.775777 1.110200 1.558546 2.201294
2025-08-24 0.210819 0.331411 0.504272 0.766911 1.151851 1.690476 2.494935
2025-08-31 0.175696 0.291529 0.465573 0.741898 1.164172 1.778299 2.729871
2025-09-07 0.162781 0.283005 0.471112 0.781204 1.272195 2.009923 3.188859
2025-09-14 0.139339 0.253938 0.440695 0.760350 1.284643 2.098204 3.438425
2025-09-21 0.119952 0.228673 0.412846 0.739485 1.293297 2.178964 3.679846
2025-09-28 0.104466 0.207899 0.389684 0.723114 1.306353 2.265778 3.935119
2025-10-05 0.096407 0.199439 0.386606 0.740378 1.376604 2.449664 4.360668
2025-10-12 0.091993 0.197208 0.394218 0.776936 1.482774 2.700439 4.914916
2025-10-19 0.085804 0.190918 0.394045 0.800025 1.568491 2.925370 5.446659
2025-10-26 0.078321 0.181013 0.385925 0.807423 1.626448 3.106725 5.917107
2025-11-02 0.070619 0.169500 0.373180 0.804210 1.663611 3.252738 6.333778
2025-11-09 0.063159 0.157404 0.357751 0.793777 1.685430 3.371469 6.708064
2025-11-16 0.056729 0.146670 0.343825 0.784721 1.708637 3.493652 7.096187
2025-11-23 0.049731 0.133548 0.323166 0.759169 1.695885 3.545595 7.353711
2025-11-30 0.048451 0.134071 0.332645 0.799322 1.821666 3.875132 8.168629
2025-12-07 0.042953 0.123243 0.315116 0.778019 1.816004 3.943631 8.474741
2025-12-14 0.038092 0.113299 0.298419 0.756705 1.808084 4.006330 8.772475
2025-12-21 0.034053 0.104902 0.284391 0.739980 1.808482 4.085560 9.108237
2025-12-28 0.032293 0.102518 0.284852 0.757617 1.887333 4.334020 9.809645